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Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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Publications

  1. Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting for Fresh Water Reservoir Management in the Netherlands: An Assessment of Multiple Prediction Systems

    For efficient management of the Dutch surface water reservoir Lake IJssel, (sub)seasonal forecast...

    Hurkmans, R. T. W. L., B. van den Hurk, M. Schmeits, F. Wetterhall, and I. G. Pechlivanidis | J. Hydrometeor. | 2023 | 24
  2. Strengthening gradients in the tropical west Pacific connect to European summer temperatures on sub-seasonal timescales

    Recent work has shown that (sub-)seasonal variability in tropical Pacific convection, closely lin...

    Chiem van Straaten, Dim Coumou, Kirien Whan, Bart van den Hurk, and Maurice Schmeits | Weather and Climate Dynamics | 2023 | 4
  3. Correcting Subseasonal Forecast Errors with an Explainable ANN to Understand Misrepresented Sources of Predictability of European Summer Temperatures

    Subseasonal forecasts are challenging for numerical weather prediction (NWP) and machine learning...

    Chiem van Straaten, Kirien Whan, Dim Coumou, Bart van den Hurk, and Maurice Schmeits | Artif. Intell. Earth Syst. | 2023 | 2
  4. The 2018 west-central European drought projected in a warmer climate: how much drier can it get?

    Projections of changes in extreme droughts un- der future climate conditions are associated with ...

    Emma E. Aalbers, Erik van Meijgaard, Geert Lenderink, Hylke de Vries, Bart J. J. M. van den Hurk | NHESS | 2023 | 23
  5. Final assessment KNMI’23 scenarios

    General assessment by the Scientific Advisory Board of the KNMI’23 scenario program.  Gebruike...

    B. van den Hurk, A. Klein Tank, N. van Lipzig, D. Salas, A. Fischer, J. Aerts, C. Dalelane | --2023 | pp5
  6. Blue-green roofs with forecast-based operation to reduce the impact of weather extremes

    Conventional green roofs have often been criticised for their limited water buffer capacity durin...

    Tim Busker, Hans de Moel, Toon Haer, Maurice Schmeits, Bart van den Hurk, Kira Myers, Dirk Gijsbert Cirkel, and Jeroen Aerts | Journal of Environmental Management | 2022 | 301
  7. Using Explainable Machine Learning Forecasts to Discover Subseasonal Drivers of High Summer Temperatures in Western and Central Europe

    Reliable subseasonal forecasts of high summer temperatures would be very valuable for society. Al...

    Chiem van Straaten, Kirien Whan, Dim Coumou, Bart van den Hurk, and Maurice Schmeits | Monthly Weather Review | 2022 | 150
  8. Observed Increase of Urban Extreme Rainfall as Surface Temperature Rise: The Jakarta Case

    Sub-daily extreme precipitation in Jakarta exhibits trends related to local temperature, seasonal...

    Siswanto, Gerard van der Schrier, Bart van den Hurk | J. Meteorological Society of Japan | 2022 | 100
  9. Weather-induced crop failure events under climate change: a storyline approach

    Unfavourable weather is a common cause for crop failures all over the world. Whilst extreme weath...

    H Goulart, K van der Wiel, C Folberth, J Balkovic, B van den Hurk | Earth System Dynamics | 2021 | 12
  10. The influence of aggregation and statistical post‐processing on the subseasonal predictability of European temperatures

    The succession of European surface weather patterns has limited predictability because disturbanc...

    C van Straaten, K Whan, D Coumou, B van den Hurk, M Schmeits | published | Quart. J. Royal Meteor. Soc. | 2020 | 146
  11. Future continental summer warming constrained by the present-day seasonal cycle of surface hydrology

    FM Selten, R Bintanja, R Vautard, B van den Hurk | published | Scientific Reports | 2020 | 10
  12. Long-lead empirical forecasts of the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall based on causal precursors

    G Di Capua, M Kretschmer, J Runge, A Alessandri, R Donner, B van den Hurk, R Vellore, R Krishnan, D Coumou | published | Weather and Forecasting | 2019
  13. The Impact of Meteorological and Hydrological Memory on Compound Peak Flows in the Rhine River Basin

    Spatio-temporal variation of hydrological processes that have a strong lagged autocorrelation (me...

    S Khanal, A Lutz, W Immerzeel, H de Vries, N Wanders, BJJ van den Hurk | published | Atmosphere | 2019 | 10
  14. Storm surge and extreme river discharge: a compound event analysis using ensemble impact modelling

    Many winter deep low-pressure systems passing over Western Europe have the potential to induce si...

    S Khanal, N Ridder, H de Vries, W Terink, B vd Hurk | published | Frontiers in Marine Science | 2019 | 7
  15. Local-scale changes in mean and heavy precipitation in Western Europe, climate change or internal variability?

    EE Aalbers, G Lenderink, E van Meijgaard, BJJM van den Hurk | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2018 | 50
  16. The match between Climate Services demands and Earth System Models supplies

    BJJM van den Hurk, C Hewitt, D Jacob, F Doblas-Reyes, R Döscher, J Bessembinder | published | Climate Services | 2018
  17. Bridging forecast verification and humanitarian decisions: a valuation approach for setting up action-oriented early warning systems

    Empirical evidence shows that acting on early warnings can help humanitarian organizations reduce...

    A Lopez, E Coughlan de Perez, J Bazo, P Suarez, BJJM van den Hurk, M van Aalst | accepted | Weather and Climate Extremes | 2018
  18. Future extreme precipitation intensities based on a historic event.

    In a warmer climate, it is expected that precipitation intensities will increase and form a consi...

    I Manola, BJJM van den Hurk, H de Moel, JCJH Aerts | published | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2018
  19. The influence of antecedent conditions on flood risk in sub-Saharan Africa

    K Bischiniotis, BJJM van den Hurk, B Jongman, E Coughlan de Perez, T Veldkamp, H de Moel, J Aerts | published | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2018
  20. Global predictability of temperature extremes

    Coughlan de Perez, Aalst, Bischiniotis, Mason, Nissan, Pappenberger, Stephens, Zsoter, Hurk | accepted | Environmental Research Letters | 2018
  21. Investigating the impact of soil moisture on European summer climate in ensemble numberical experiments

    C Ardilouze, L Batté, M Déqué, E van Meijgaard, BJJM van den Hurk | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2018
  22. Storylines: An alternative approach to representing uncertainty in climate change

    TG Sheperd, E Boyd, RA Calel, SC Chapman, S Dessai, IM Dima-West, HJ Fowler, R James, D Maraun, O Martius, CA Senior, H Sobel, DA Stainforth, SFB Tett, BJJM van den Hurk, NW Watkins, RL Wilby, D Zenghelis, KE Trenberth | published | Climatic Change | 2018
  23. Future climate risk: The challenge of compound events

    Zscheischler, Westra, Hurk, Ward, Pitman, AghaKouchak, Bresch, Leonard, Wahl, Zhang, Seneviratne | published | Nature Climate Change | 2018
  24. The influence of antecedent conditions on flood risk in sub-Saharan Africa

    Preparedness activities and flood forecasting have received increasing attention and have led tow...

    K Bischiniotis, BJJ van den Hurk, B Jongman, E Coughlan de Perez, T Veldkamp, J Aerts | accepted | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2017
  25. Should seasonal forecasts be used for flood preparedness?

    Should seasonal forecasts be used for flood preparedness? Erin Coughlan de Perez, Elisabeth Step...

    E Coughlan de Perez, E Stephens, K Bischiniotis, M van Aalst, BJJM van den Hurk, S Mason, H Nissan, F Pappenberger | accepted | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2017 | 21